Since the summer, Fed Chair Powell has described the labor market as being in a “curious kind of balance.” See his remarks in ...

Typically, these unofficial indicators and warnings of an economic downturn are paired with government economic data to gauge ...

The Conference Board said Tuesday that its consumer confidence index fell by 1 point to 94.6 in October from an upwardly ...

We project that in the next six weeks, the probability of a U.S. recession getting started in the next twelve months will be ...

In addition to working papers, the NBER disseminates affiliates’ latest findings through a range of free periodicals — the NBER Reporter, the NBER Digest, the Bulletin on Health, and the Bulletin on ...

The percentage of subprime borrowers – those with credit scores below 670 – who are at least 60 days late on their car loans ...

A cooling labor market doesn’t have to catch you off guard — here’s how to build a safety net and protect your income.

After reaching a record high in fiscal 2024, state reserve capacity fell to a median of 46.9 days of spending in FY 2025 as ...

The U.S. economy suffered an unexpected setback in July as hiring fell sharply and the unemployment rate rose for the fourth ...

There are few things that get football fans more fired up than mock drafts. But what about mock re-drafts? Instead of looking ahead and trying to predict which players will find their way into the ...

No, Coachella’s lineup dropping months earlier than its usual release isn’t actually an indicator of an impending recession. But in the absence of official government data, social media users are ...

An analysis from Moody's Analytics shows 21 states and the District of Columbia are currently in a recession. Sixteen states, such as Texas, Florida and Pennsylvania, are experiencing economic growth.